Climate Code Red

Book review which originally appeared on the LeftWrites blog on 24 August, 2008

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BY TOM O’LINCOLN

 

David  Spratt and Philip Sutton, Climate Code Red: The Case for Emergency Action, Scribe, Melbourne, 2008.

 

IF YOU’RE NOT scared yet about global warming, you soon will be.

In their book Climate Code Red, David Spratt and Philip Sutton respond to indications that sea-ice in the polar north is disintegrating at a frightening speed. From here they show that other terrifying consequences, such as the wholesale burning of the Amazon, and drastic rises in sea levels, are not far away.

This is bolder stuff than we get from most experts, and certainly goes further than statements from the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. But that, say the authors, is precisely the point. For fear of being called alarmist, too many scientists are toning down what they really think.

That in turn allows politicians to put a bland face on things, which in turn is a signal to industry it can continue with business as usual.

There is a lot of important scientific information in the book, in a clear and easy to read form, so if youre new to the subject its not a bad place to start. Equally important, it looks at social obstacles to seriously tackling the climate crisis, and suggests some solutions.

One obstacle is the New Business As Usual syndrome, in which companies persuade us to consume even more of their junk, while convincing us this is somehow earth-friendly. Some of this is just greenwash dreamed up by advertising agencies, but Sutton and Spratt also show how a new version of conventional economics allows major scams.

Clean coal technologies such as carbon capture and storage (aka geo-sequestration) are largely unproved and unlikely to be cheaper than renewable energy, yet Australian governments are in love with them. Why is that? I think the reasons are clear enough. Coal is a major export industry, and the industry is desperate to turn its product green before customers shift to other power sources.

Then there are biofuels, production of which has driven up food prices to the point where a UN special rapporteur calls it a crime against humanity.

Carbon offsets are fashionable, and some government-certified offsets seem to be OK as far as they go. Others are pointless publicity stunts, or blatant frauds in which the trees substituting for emissions never get planted. In still other cases there are great uncertainties: what if the trees burn? How do you measure the emissions related to an individuals flight on a plane?

Some of the biggest offset disasters are associated with so-called Clean Development Mechanisms, which allow western companies to pollute, then offset their sins by funding projects in the third world. Making sure these arent rip-offs is very difficult. By March 2007, Newsweek reported that the real winners in emissions trading have been polluting factory owners who can sell menial cuts for massive profits.

Then there is carbon trading itself. After my exchange in Overland with Clive Hamilton, who seems impervious to the dangers of marketising environmental solutions, I was relieved to find Sutton and Spratt pointing out how many of the passionate advocates of carbon trading see it was a way to make a great deal of money rather than as a means to cutting emissions.

We might think this doesn’t matter, since a well designed scheme might use the profit-motive to drive environmental solutions whether the players like it or not. But in practice the schemes are always skewed to suit vested interests. And these interests are now responding to a multi-faceted crisis that goes way beyond climate change.

One excellent short chapter in Climate Code Red summarises its dimensions: global oil shortages, catastrophic food prices; and soaring demand for water while rising seas destroy supplies of it everywhere from Australias Murray-Darling to cities like Jakarta. On top of all this comes the economic crisis that has emerged in America and  threatens the world economy. All experience suggests that capitalist companies will respond with brutal profit-maximising behaviour that could easily blow apart the integrity of even the best carbon trading scheme.

This is where I started to feel dissatisfied with the book. It takes key aspects of the capitalist system as givens. The authors do say that the neo-liberal market economy, without democratic control and with a fetish for monetary growth and shareholder value rather than community, has failed the test of sustainability.

Very true, but some of us are old enough to remember economics before neo-liberalism. Was the economy under democratic control in the early 1970s, when a recession smashed the Whitlam government?  The authors want to bring runaway capitalism into alignment with the sustainability of the planet, but have we ever observed a capitalism that wasn’t runaway in some form?  In fact on the authors’ own account, the highly regulated European carbon trading system ran away fairly quickly.

Of course it’s easier to throw up these questions than to answer them. But given the persistence with which serious green activists argue the need for a qualitatively different way of living, at least some of this book’s readers should be open to discussing social change that goes beyond a return to what preceded neo-liberalism. And won’t it take a challenge to capitalism itself to actually democratise the economy?

The social aspects poke their heads up in other ways. As a model for mobilising to stop climate change, the authors cite the Second World War. That war drive was certainly dramatic, but this book ignores the huge social costs. It went together with intense racist agitation; one of its key objectives was maintaining imperialist power in Asia; and it ended with human and environmental disaster at Hiroshima and Nagasaki. Winston Churchill, described as charismatic in Climate Code Red, was also a racist union-basher. Do these facts matter for the environmental debate? Only if you think solving the environmental crisis has something to do with how society works.

Spratt and Sutton demand an ethic of cross-species compassion: protect the welfare of all people, all species, and all generations. At first this seems OK. Taken literally, the all-species thing is a bit silly, but I don’t suppose the authors really want compassion for the AIDS virus. They want to defend bio-diversity, a crucial requirement for human survival; and at the same time to make us think like internationalists and care for future generations.

Where it becomes problematic is when it seems to indicate a moral equivalence between all people, because actually the rich and powerful minority who dominate the world economy have a lot to answer for. Call me callous, but I oppose compassion for Dick Cheney and the Haliburton board. Spratt and Sutton’s formulations obscure the need for a mobilisation against certain people.

The authors come closest to confronting the issue of capitalism in a chapter called The Safe Climate Economy. They again hold up World War II as a model, but this time coupled with Keynesian economics’ impact in the 1930s. That really is unconvincing. The methods of Keynes (who supported the anti-working class Premiers Plan as having saved the economic structure of Australia) didn’t end the Depression. The war did that, at staggering human cost.

Despite their earlier critiques, Spratt and Sutton return to a kind of market solution with a call for individual carbon rationing and trading. This idea got a run in Britain some time back. Part of society’s pollution allowance would be divided equally between individual citizens, and we’d each get a swipe card allowing us to use our share at the bowser or wherever. If we want to use more, we have to buy credits from another citizen. Supposely this will re-distribute wealth to the poor, since the rich will have to pay the poor for extra credits to maintain their lifestyle.

But I have horror visions of pensioners shivering at home to save carbon to sell, like third world people selling their organs, so that the rich can enjoy life. It seems to me this scheme would turn every individual into a micro-business, the ultimate in neo-liberal market mania. It would also further individualise responsibility for the environmental crisis, making each of us feel personally guilty, when in reality the fault lies with governments, oil companies, the Liberal Party and so on. Why not just take the Packer family’s wealth off them as the first step in the plan?

Which brings me back to the fact that we have enemies. Sutton and Spratt write perceptively: It does not require much imagination to understand that the corporate big end of town may see the idea of [carbon] rationing as a direct challenge to their world and to their idea of a free market. They express the fear that strong action to make a safe climate possible will destroy the economic-growth machine. I’d say this applies to any major environmental solution.

Climate Code Reds answer to this is that ultimately saving the planet is good for the whole economy, which is true; but that won’t stop our capitalist rulers seeing it as a challenge to their world, for two reasons. The authors identify the first themselves: firms that are not adaptable may fail. But who can tell which will live and which will die? Each business fears this is a death sentence, and some will choose reactionary solutions.

The second reason is more fundamental. I think the capitalists sense, as many environmentalists do, and as socialists like me do, that to resolve this crisis demands deep social changes that will threaten the power of capital more generally. The nature of those changes is, of course a major topic in its own right. What I will say now us that I agree we need an economy under democratic control. Sutton and Spratt seem to see this in terms of government policy and the workings of the market. But while both are important issues, I think the logical place to start is in the workplaces where we spend so much of our lives, and where so many of our environmental problems are generated.

If I’m right, we have a fight on our hands. If so, we need weapons. Climate Code Red, for all my disagreements, contains some valuable intellectual weapons. It also seems to be associated with a certain ripple of grass-roots mobilisation. And this is a very good sign.